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Post by bobheckler Wed Sep 21, 2016 1:55 am

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/17597014/las-vegas-sets-golden-state-warriors-regular-season-wins-665?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter



Las Vegas pegs Warriors' wins at 66.5; Cavs, Spurs at 56.5


1:07 AM ET


David Purdum
ESPN Staff Writer



The Golden State Warriors are projected to win 10 more games during the regular season than the defending NBA champion Cleveland Cavaliers, according to season win totals posted Tuesday by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas.

2016-17 NBA Regular-Season Win Totals
The over/under benchmark for regular-season wins for each NBA team for the 2016-17 season, as determined by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas:


TEAM...............WINS.........TEAM.............WINS
Golden St.--------66.5...........Minnesota-----41.5
Cleveland---------56.5...........Charlotte-------39.5
San Antonio-----56.5-----------Dallas------------39.5
LA Clippers------53.5-----------Milwaukee-----39.5
Boston-------------51.5-----------Chicago---------38.5
Toronto------------49.5-----------New York------38.5
Utah------------------47.5----------Miami------------36.5
Portland------------46.5----------New Orleans--36.5
Detroit---------------45.5----------Orlando----------36.5
Okla. City-----------45.5----------Denver-----------34.5
Atlanta---------------43.5----------Sacramento---32.5
Indiana---------------43.5---------Philadelphia----27.5
Memphis------------43.5---------Phoenix-----------26.5
Washington-------'42.5----------LA Lakers-------24.5
Houston-------------41.5----------Brooklyn---------20.5

The Warriors' season win total is set at 66.5. The Cavaliers and San Antonio Spurs each opened at 56.5 at the Westgate.

The day after Kevin Durant signed with the Warriors, the SuperBook opened the over/under on Golden State's season win total at 68.5. It is the highest win total oddsmaker Jeff Sherman has ever posted prior to the season and attracted early money on the under from sharp bettors.

"Basically, the sharps are liking the under [on Golden State] and the public is liking the over," Sherman said.

The 10-win gap between the Warriors and the other elite teams, Cleveland and San Antonio, is unusual, Sherman said. In past seasons, the elite teams had opening win totals in the range of 61.5, with the next tier of contenders listed in the high 50s. In addition to the Cavaliers and Spurs, only two other teams -- the LA Clippers (53.5) and Boston Celtics (51.5) -- opened with win totals greater than 50.

"It's really an outlier for the Warriors to be as separated as they are," Sherman said.


2016-17 NBA Division Odds
Odds for each team to win their respective divisions during the 2016-17 NBA season, as determined by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas:

Atlantic Odds...........Southwest Odds
Boston 10/11-----------San Antonio 1/7
Toronto 5/4--------------Memphis 8/1
New York 8/1------------Houston 15/1
Philadelphia 35/1------Dallas 25/1
Brooklyn 200/1----------New Orleans 40/1

Central Odds..............Northwest Odds
Cleveland 1/10----------Utah 2/1
Detroit 12/1---------------Portland 9/4
Indiana 15/1--------------Okla. City 5/2
Milwaukee 25/1--------Minnesota 5/1
Chicago 40/1------------Denver 50/1


Southeast Odds.........Pacific Odds
Atlanta 9/5----------------Golden St. 1/40
Washington 2/1-------- LA Clippers 7/1
Charlotte 4/1-------------Sacramento 150/1
Miami 8/1------------------Phoenix 300/1
Orlando 8/1----------------LA Lakers 500/1

Several teams that missed the playoffs last season are projected to make significant improvements. After going 10-72 last season, the Philadelphia 76ers' win total opened at 27. The Minnesota Timberwolves, who hired coach Tom Thibodeau after going 29-53 last season, opened with a win total of 41.5. The Utah Jazz's win total opened at 47.5, the third highest in the Western Conference.

The Brooklyn Nets have the lowest win total at 20.5, followed by the Los Angeles Lakers at 24.5. That's 42 wins less than the Warriors, who remain outright favorites at -140 to win the title.

Sherman said Tuesday that almost four times as much money had been bet on the Warriors than on any other team. Approximately 60 percent of the money bet on Westgate's odds to win the NBA title is on Golden State.

The Warriors, however, haven't attracted the most overall bets to win the championship. At the SuperBook, more bets have been placed on the 80-1 longshot New York Knicks than any other team.


bob
MY NOTE:  GSW loses Barnes and Bogut and add Durant and Pachulia and they win 4-5 fewer games?  They underestimated us last year too.  Gotta love Brooklyn!

.
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Post by Matty Wed Sep 21, 2016 4:52 am

I have more faith in what our board could come up with than this yrs win loss guesses from tge oddsmakers.
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Post by worcester Wed Sep 21, 2016 6:06 am

Again, I'm saying 53 regular season wins. Not surprised to read in today's Boston Herald that Danny thinks we need a rim/lane protector and an outside shooter. In Gatwick now. USA here I come!
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Post by sinus007 Wed Sep 21, 2016 1:47 pm

Hi,
I love the 20.5 for BKN. Go Brooklyn, go!

AK
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Post by dboss Wed Sep 21, 2016 1:59 pm

Yes the Brooklyn win total would be great

I am going with 55 wins for Boston this season.  That is ambitious because there are several things that must happen.  The sure bet is that Boston will be one heckava defensive team.

biggest unknows

who emerges to run the 2nd unit? Will the team rebound better and will the 3 point % Improve.

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