538 Season Projections

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Our NBA projections are out! http://53eig.ht/2kNxBRj





bob
MY NOTE:  We're going to win 6 fewer games than last year?  The team that lost Gordon Hayward, and is in the tougher WC, is going to win only one fewer game than us?  The Denver Nuggets, who won 40 games this year and missed the playoffs, are going to win one more game than us?  Paul Millsap is worth 8 wins?  The Cavaliers are going to win 56 games this year even though IT will be out for many of them?  Wuh? The last column got cut off but it is "Win Title". They give the Celtics a 2% chance of that. That's the same as the Nuggets, who would have to fight past 2 of these 3 just to get to the finals: Houston, San Antonio and GSW.


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Certain drugs have dangerous cognitive repercussions.


KJ

Celts are tough to project at this point for statistical models because of all their turnover. Also, the team overachieved last year relative to what would have statistically been expected. I expect that they'll look a lot better in the 538 model in a month.

I get that people are having difficulty extrapolating the Celtics' win total, but I don't see how anyone can think they've taken a step back.


KJ

You heard it here first.

57 wins for the Celtics.

bobc33 wrote:You heard it here first.

57 wins for the Celtics.

That's a reasonable estimate. My guess is 58-24.

I think the offensive talent additions will account for more wins in close games that in years past we probably would've lost.


KJ