Not in the Box Score: Breaking Down Marcus Smart’s Hustle Game

https://hardwoodhoudini.com/2017/08/25/not-box-score-breaking-marcus-smarts-hustle-game/



Not in the Box Score: Breaking Down Marcus Smart’s Hustle Game



by Curtis Rafter



17 hours agoFollow @CurtisRafter31



One of the enduring debates heading into this offseason revolved around Marcus Smart. Specifically, whether or not the Boston Celtics should commit to him or whether they should part ways in anticipation of a big free agent signing.

For reasons unknown to nearly every other fan base in the league, the Boston Celtics opted to move essentially any other player they could in an effort to clear cap space, making Smart the longest tenured player on the team.

Danny Ainge moved Avery Bradley, Isaiah Thomas, and Jae Crowder, just to name a few guys that didn’t quite make the cut. In doing so, he decidedly cemented his dedication to Smart.

Statistically speaking, Smart doesn’t hold a candle to any of the aforementioned players.

In big minutes off the bench, Smart has only put up about nine points per game by converting roughly 36 percent of his field goal attempts. He’s shot a dismal 29 percent from three, earning notoriety as one of the worst three point shooters in the history of the league, per Paul Swydan.

His numbers for rebounds and assists don’t really jump off the page, and the only significant box score category that Smart fills is the steals column, averaging about one-and-a-half per game.

Now, Danny Ainge isn’t insane. He has to be aware of Smart’s shooting woes and his general inability to fill the box score, which would mean that Smart’s value must fall outside the stat sheet.

This has been, and is, the argument for investing in Smart and keeping him on the roster.

Until recently, the only way to prove this argument was to watch Smart play. And the eye test does, in fact, confirm that Smart is some sort of hustle game savant.

Just watch a few minutes of the video below. The guy has a great sense of defensive spacing and knows how to capitalize on that, disrupting plays with deflections, going after loose balls, and drawing charges like few others in the league.




For all the egregious flops he commits, he seemingly draws twice as many charges.

Thanks to a recent NBA undertaking meant to diversify statistical data, budding analysts and commentators like myself now have access to quantitative information that can either confirm or deny Smart’s impact on the floor.

According to Zach Lowe, the NBA decided to track hustle stats heading into the 2016 playoffs. The new batch of numbers measure the frequency in which players contest shots, deflect the basketball, recover loose balls, and draw charges.

And as one might guess, Marcus Smart was among the league’s best at deflecting the basketball and drawing charges during the 2016-2017 season. He averaged exactly three deflections per game, good for 19th best in the league. He also drew the 10th most charges in the league per game.

His total numbers boost him higher up on each list. He contested 262 three-point attempts, good for 20th best in the league. With respect to total deflections, Smart knocked the ball away 234 times, which ties him with Tony Allen for 14th most deflections. He drew 23 charges total, which is the fifth most in the league.

Interestingly, both Bradley and Thomas recovered more loose balls than Smart. It is possible, however, that Smart’s propensity to deflect the basketball helped boost both Bradley and IT’s numbers in this column.

Because the Celtics look extraordinarily different heading into this season, the onus will be on Smart to carry forward the culture of defensive intensity, effort, and hustle that the team has cultivated over the last three or four years. This opportunity should help Smart mature, facilitating his development as a phenomenal energy and hustle guy, and a better all-around player.


bob


.

And just how does one determine whether his defensive capabilities at least balance out his offensive deficiencies ?

swish

swish wrote:And just how does one determine whether his defensive capabilities at least balance out his offensive deficiencies ?

   swish

swish,

There are no shortage of advanced metrics (aka "specialized stats") that provide that information nowadays. You and I might not have access to them but Celtics management and Brad do.


bob


.

bobheckler wrote:

swish wrote:And just how does one determine whether his defensive capabilities at least balance out his offensive deficiencies ?

   swish

swish,

There are no shortage of advanced metrics (aka "specialized stats") that provide that information nowadays.  You and I might not have access to them but Celtics management and Brad do.


bob


.

bob

I sure do not have the metrics - but I'll take your word that word that the Celtic management and Brad do.

swish

Posted this previously, but bears a repost here

If Marcus does the dirty work, plays the best player on the other team, rebounds, dives for loose balls, and generally gives it his best every night - his shooting % tells only a small part of the story. Last season, he was the Celtics' leader in total loose balls recovered and deflections. He leads Boston in contested 3-point shots and, among the team's guards, he is tops in contested shots overall.

And Brad Stevens and his teammates trust him

“...I don’t even really think about it (his shooting %),” Stevens said. “I just want him to continue being a leader and being contagious and competing and his savvy’s really, really good and we’ve talked about that since he’s been here. He’s got an understanding and instincts that are just really special.”

I dont think he will ever be a star in the NBA by any means, but winning teams need winning players and you can’t teach effort, intensity, or heart. He makes 4.5 million this year and even if you triple that he is a bargain in the modern NBA - there is always room for a guy like Smart on my team.

MrKleen,

I fully believe that Marcus Smart is already a star in the NBA.  He may never make the All Star team because he is likely never to score enough points to earn such an honor. In fact, if he can ever score enough points on a regular basis to make the All Star game, he become a true max contract player.

BUT, he is one guy who is not an all star in February who every team in the league would love to have on its roster.  I am sure that every team knows exactly what he brings to the Cs just about every single night with or without the advanced metrics.  The eye test alone clearly shows how this guy shines.

I will predict that even though the entire Boston roster is going to be brand new to each other this season that Marcus Smart will be the main reason that the Celtics culture of the last few seasons is quickly instilled in the entire group of new players.  He and Crowder were the "glue guys" and now Smart will rise to the occasion alone this season.

Well said Clyde and 100% agree.